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Indeed, your chance of matching two numbers is a fairly healthy 1 in 10.3.The introduction of a new £1 million 'raffle prize', meanwhile, helps keep your millionaire chances within reach (if you fancy your chances at tossing 23 heads in a row, for instance).At the next draw, I pay for 9 million tickets at a cost of £18 million to me, and use my 1 million free tickets from the last draw.Camelot 'pays in' these tickets as £2 million in sales, and so the sales fund is again £20 million, with £10 million sitting in the prize pot.It all sounds pretty good until you realise that, by increasing the number of balls from 49 to 59, the odds of winning most prizes have lengthened considerably (your chances of scooping the jackpot have increased from an already optimistic 1 in 14 million to a rather more spectacular 1 in 45 million).
Camelot have been quick to highlight the benefits of this new arrangment: an increased chance of 'winning a prize' (from 1 in 54 to 1 in 9.3) and an increased chance of becoming a millionaire (from 1 in 14 million to 1 in 10 million).
In other words, how much of a return can you expect in the long run for your weekly lottery investment?
Conveniently, the regulatory commission report notes, ' The new prize structure should tend towards an average prize payout percentage of 47.5%, as it is currently.' Saving us statisticians from any complex calculations.
You could also discuss whether a 1 in 10 chance of winning another go, or a fractionally increased chance of becoming a millionaire really does make up for the (much) longer odds on the more desirable cash prizes.
For some, of course, it will and Camelot themselves claim that 'the majority of players are more interested in prizes than the odds of the game'.